聯絡我們 網站地圖 中央大學
 
 
   
     
 
主  題
On Spherical Monte Carlo Simulations for Multivariate Normal Probabilities  
 
 
 
時  間
2014-05-30 上午 9:30~11:00  
 
 
 
地  點
鴻經館 107室  
 
 
 
主 講 者
鄧惠文教授 (中央大學統計研究所)  
 
 
 
內  容
摘要:
The calculation of multivariate normal probabilities is of great importance in many statistical and economic applications. This paper proposes a spherical Monte Carlo method with both theoretical analysis and numerical simulation. To begin with, the multivariate normal probability is rewritten via an inner radial integral and an outer spherical integral by the spherical transformation. For the outer spherical integral, we apply an integration rule by randomly rotating a predetermined set of well-located points. To find the desired set, we derive an upper bound for the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator and propose a set which is related to the kissing number problem in sphere packings. For the inner radial integral, we employ the idea of antithetic variates and identify certain conditions so that variance reduction is guaranteed. Extensive Monte Carlo experiments on some probabilities calculation confirm these claims. This is a joint work with Cheng-Der Fuh and Ming-Hsuan Kang.
 
   
 
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